Research, data analysis, and signal guides from the Signal Congress team.
The naive answer: congressional purchases LOSE to the market by 0.32% at 60 days — they're worse stock pickers than the index. The real answer is buried in the filter. Cross-chamber bipartisan clusters return +8.08% at 180 days across 204 signals. We show our work.
Between April and May 2025, seven congressional members from both parties quietly bought NVIDIA. Three sat on committees with direct AI/semiconductor jurisdiction. Sixty days later the position was up 36.2% vs. SPY.
A Periodic Transaction Report is a two-page government form that most people misread. We break down every field — transaction date vs. filing date, amount ranges, asset type codes — and explain what actually matters for signal extraction.