Research, data analysis, and signal guides from the Signal Congress team.
Most tools show 32,000 trades with equal weight. The signal is in which ones involve two branches of government pointing at the same company. We built the multi-branch convergence signal to find them.
The naive answer: congressional purchases LOSE to the market by 0.32% at 60 days — they're worse stock pickers than the index. The real answer is buried in the filter. Cross-chamber bipartisan clusters return +8.08% at 180 days across 204 signals. We show our work.
Between April and May 2025, seven congressional members from both parties quietly bought NVIDIA. Three sat on committees with direct AI/semiconductor jurisdiction. Sixty days later the position was up 36.2% vs. SPY.
A Periodic Transaction Report is a two-page government form that most people misread. We break down every field — transaction date vs. filing date, amount ranges, asset type codes — and explain what actually matters for signal extraction.